Monday, November 24, 2008

Indian jewellers in recessionary pain: Reuters

Jaipur jewellery manufacturers and exporters are in a recession pain. Gobal recession disease have caught the traders and the very first symptom is falling export orders.

Until last year traders dealing in gems and jewellery segment were earning huge profits. But now the situation has reversed, gem city is facing an adverse impact of recession in the global economy.

Recession has directly hit the jewellery manufacturers and exporters as there is no more order booking coming from the offshore buyers. Jeweller exporters fear the impact would be felt in the coming quarter.

"As far as global recession is concerned, people are thinking that the sales may go down. If the sales go down during the Christmas season, then the impact can be seen in the next quarter," said Jagdish Tambi, Spokesperson, Jaipur Jeweller's Association.

Majority of the jewellery is exported to the US and the there has been a sharp fall in the quantity of export due to recession in the US. Falling exports has also resulted in sizable retrenchment of workers in the jewellery industry.

"There are a lot of people who have lost jobs because export orders have been cancelled. Lesser order, lesser work, every body can feel the impact. It is not that the recession is affecting the US only," said Sudheer Kasliwal, an exporter.

What started in the US about 18 months ago as a housing mortgage crisis has slowly engulfed the whole world and India is no exception.

Gold prices climb due to global economic slump: Karvy Comtrade

Gold prices traded in the range of $729.6-$802.8 a troy ounce, as the firmer US dollar propelled a volatile movement in the precious metals sector. The slump in equities in conjunction to the deepening crisis has eroded the investor confidence, thereby proving negative for the precious metals. The price of crude oil dropping below $49 a barrel renewed speculation that a global recession will cut demand for precious metals and raw materials. The dollar rose against the euro as prices paid to U.S. producers plunged and homebuilder confidence fell, increasing demand for the safety of government debt indicted by the substantial increase in TIC flows.

However, prices erased earlier losses and moved higher on speculation the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates to stimulate the U.S. economy, boosting the appeal of the precious metal as an alternative asset. The yield on two-year Treasury notes dropped below 1 percent for the first time ever on bets the Fed will cut its benchmark rate next month. The poor housing sector performance, steep increase in jobless claims and contracting manufacturing activity helped gold prices to move higher. On the weekend, gold prices climbed as the global economic slump dragged down asset prices and boosted the appeal of the precious metal as a store of value.

According to the world gold council, the demand for the precious metal increased 18 % in the third quarter as lower prices encouraged purchases by jewelers and as investors sought a haven from the credit crisis. So-called identifiable investment, which includes purchases through exchange-traded funds and of bars and coins, climbed 56 % to 382.1 tons during the quarter.

Other precious metals, which have wider industrial applications than gold, fell on concern that a global recession may damp demand for all commodities. The International Monetary Fund projected that economies in the U.S., Japan and the euro zone will all shrink in 2009.

This week, fundamentally we expect gold prices to trade sideways amid lower US GDP growth (P), declining home sales and durable goods orders. The gains are likely to be limited by the strengthening dollar and poor economic condition in euro-zone.