Monday, December 22, 2008

Bullion prices likely to trade sideways today: Karvy Commodities

Gold prices traded in the range of $821-$883.6 a troy ounce with prices rallying strongly in the initial three sessions, as the depreciating dollar enhanced the appeal of metal as an alternate asset class.

The dollar fell significantly against the euro and fell to $1.4719 levels as US Federal Reserve Bank slashed the target lending rate by 75 basis points to 0.25%, the lowest ever. The consensus was of a 50 basis points cut. With policy makers emphasizing that Fed will employ all available tools to promote the resumption of sustainable economic growth and to preserve price stability;the metal gold was seen to be strongly buoyant.

Nevertheless, gold prices pared gains as oil fell below $33 a barrel and dollar recovered on speculation that decline in dollar was too steep. Reports showing lesser than expected decline in initial jobless claims and Philadelphia Fed Index, followed by European Commission comments that the euro region may suffer a “substantial” effect from the financial crisis next year supportedthe gains in dollar.

Today on the electronic session, gold prices are currently trading higher by around six dollars,backed by weak dollar and firmer opening in crude oil prices. Silver also gained. On the economic front, we have euro-zone industrial new orders to watch for. The data is expected to side down further in the month of November by further 4%.

On the whole, we expect a higher opening ondomestic MCX market and prices are expected to be trading sideways for the day.

No comments: